Good Intentions Can Cause Bad Bear Markets
For advisors discussing market risk with clients, the video offers a manager's account of policy-driven and sentiment-driven bear-market triggers beyond a standard recession call.
Summary
By the markets & outlook deskKen Fisher discusses common causes of bear markets, focusing on how government actions taken with good intentions can contribute. He cites the late-2000s financial crisis and the FASB mark-to-market accounting rule as an example, and says deteriorating sentiment can trigger a smaller bear market without a recession, pointing to 2022 recession fears.
- Ken Fisher says governments often have good intentions, but some past actions contributed to bear markets.
- He points to the late-2000s financial crisis, when the FASB mark-to-market accounting rule inadvertently caused a credit crunch.
- He says deteriorating sentiment can trigger a smaller bear market even without a recession.
- In 2022, he says investors' recession fears helped drive stocks lower, but the economy avoided a recession as people and businesses had already begun preparing for a downturn.
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