Skip to content
Thursday, October 29, 2026 · Today’s edition, 6:30 a.m. ETThu, Oct 29 · 6:30 a.m. editionSign inMy Desk 0EditionsSign in
AnalysisRetirementThe WrapThe Retirement Capital Week

Capital Group sets 4% to 5.5% withdrawal range for target-date funds

Capital Group's framework models a 30-year retirement, while Vanguard's planned trust series holds more equity through the glide path.

At a glance

  1. With the renames it published a framework modeling fixed annual withdrawals of 4% to 4.5% and variable withdrawals of 5% to 5.5% over a 30-year retirement.
  2. For plan advisers, that turns part of a lineup review into arithmetic.
  3. Vanguard is taking a different route: it plans Target Retirement Growth Trusts, a collective investment trust series built on its existing Target Retirement foundation, with higher equity allocations throughout the glide path.

Capital Group renamed its 2010 through 2025 target-date funds to include “retirement income,” pointing the series at the spending phase. With the renames it published a framework modeling fixed annual withdrawals of 4% to 4.5% and variable withdrawals of 5% to 5.5% over a 30-year retirement.

For plan advisers, that turns part of a lineup review into arithmetic. A committee weighing Capital Group's series has a published spending range to set beside a competitor's glide path. Morgan Stanley's poll of 200 sponsors found 69% rank the adviser a top lineup resource, which puts the framing of that comparison in the adviser's hands.

Vanguard is taking a different route: it plans Target Retirement Growth Trusts, a collective investment trust series built on its existing Target Retirement foundation, with higher equity allocations throughout the glide path. Fee levels, a launch date and whether the trusts supplement or replace the existing Target Retirement series have not been disclosed.

The structural difference matters for a lineup file. Capital Group's change is a rename of funds already in use; Vanguard's is a trust series that does not yet exist at a published price.

Until Vanguard discloses a fee and a start date, the comparison stops at the glide path.

What the two series ask a committee to weigh

Capital Group's ranges come from a published framework, not from a new share class or a different asset mix. The 4% to 4.5% band covers fixed annual withdrawals; the 5% to 5.5% band covers variable withdrawals that move with markets. Both are modeled over 30 years, the horizon that separates a target-date holder's accumulation years from the decades of spending that follow.

Vanguard's trusts keep more equity in the mix throughout the glide path, which is the opposite bet on the same problem: a portfolio that stays growth-oriented longer relies on returns to fund later spending rather than on a stated withdrawal schedule. Neither approach is self-evidently the right default for a given plan, and the source material does not offer performance or drawdown data to settle it.

The practical gap for advisers is information. A committee can read Capital Group's withdrawal bands today and test them against participant balances and expected Social Security income; it cannot do the same for Vanguard until the trusts have a price and a start date. On a lineup calendar, that makes one a review item and the other a place holder.

Reported by The Wrap desk from Capital Group retirement income framework, Vanguard Target Retirement Growth Trusts and Morgan Stanley plan sponsor survey. Published . Updated Oct 28, 2026 · 2:57 p.m. ET. Corrections

Private Wealth Daily member access

Continue this analysis

Get the complete Retirement analysis and every detail that follows.

Enter a valid work email to continue reading.

Retirement Capital Daily, from Private Wealth Daily. Unsubscribe anytime.

Full featuresIn-depth analysis and exclusive reporting.
Source-backed contextEvidence, context and the complete story.
One login across the networkAccess every Daily Network publication.

Related

Retirement

Capital Group adds retirement income to target-date funds

Capital Group's framework models fixed 4% to 4.5% and variable 5% to 5.5% withdrawal ranges, and a Morgan Stanley poll finds 45% of sponsors rank 401(k) education among top three concerns.

Retirement

Vanguard to launch Target Retirement Growth Trusts with higher equity allocations

The collective investment trust series is built on Vanguard's existing Target Retirement foundation and holds more equity throughout the glide path.

Retirement

ICI CEO Eric Pan sets June 30, 2027 departure as board seeks successor

He has agreed to stay until a replacement is found, ICI said in an Oct. 19 release.

Retirement

68% of automatic rollover IRAs lost value in a year

An EBRI and PensionBee whitepaper estimates up to 13 million accounts holding as much as $43 billion, with $100 opening fees and $5 monthly maintenance.

Retirement

IRS replaces EPCRS and launches IRA correction system

The IRS's Revenue Procedure 2026-34 took effect on publication day and the new IRA system takes over 60-day rollover waiver requests in 2027 and 2028.

From other sections

Capital Group sets 4% to 5.5% withdrawal range for target-date…