Katie Stockton Still Sees a Bull Market. So Why Is Her ETF Only 50% in Stocks?
For advisors weighing narrow market leadership and defensive ETF positioning, the discussion lays out how breadth, yields and credit spreads feed into one manager's tactical process. It also offers a concrete look at rules-based sector and Bitcoin ETF strategies.
Summary
By the etfs deskKatie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies joins Excess Returns to discuss why the S&P 500 can reach record highs while many individual stocks struggle, focusing on market breadth, Treasury yields, credit spreads and sector leadership. She explains the signals that would change her bullish outlook and why the Fairlead Tactical Sector ETF held roughly half its assets in equities at the time of the conversation. The episode also covers small caps, gold, oil and Bitcoin, including the BNAV ETF's tactical Bitcoin strategy.
- Stockton sees the bull market as intact even as weaker participation leaves many individual stocks struggling.
- She says weak breadth alone is not a reliable market-timing signal.
- The episode examines Treasury-yield breakouts and credit spreads as longer-term risk gauges.
- The TACK ETF's rules-based approach produced roughly 50% equity exposure at the time of the conversation.
Chapters
From the publisher’s description| Time | Chapter | Length |
|---|---|---|
| The bull market and weakening breadth | 6 min | |
| Narrow leadership and small-cap weakness | 8 min | |
| Treasury yields, breakouts and resistance | 5 min | |
| Credit spreads and sector leadership | 6 min | |
| TACK positioning, semiconductors and international stocks | 5 min | |
| Gold, oil and Bitcoin: reading the trends | 5 min | |
| Bitcoin indicators and the BNAV strategy | 4 min | |
| Credit, volatility and tech: the year-end risk watch | 2 min |
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